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Tesla

Camera-only FSD and an Austin robotaxi pilot; also builds the Optimus humanoid.

Austin, TX, US · TSLA
Milestone note Sep 17, 2026

Texas logged its first robotaxi fatality — the Waymo was the third vehicle in the sequence

Waymo reported a fatal Dallas crash to NHTSA: its vehicle was slowing for a pedestrian in the roadway when an SUV struck that pedestrian, sending them into the Waymo's rear left side. Juan Guzman, 71, died. It is the only Texas fatality in NHTSA's robotaxi database since June 2025, and the causal order is the part the headline cannot carry.

Milestone note Sep 15, 2026

Four humanoid factories in a month, and UBTECH's is the first with a rate attached

UBTECH began production on 12 September at a 14,000 m² plant in Liuzhou designed for more than 10,000 humanoid robots a year, building Walker S and Cruzr industrial units with Siemens as manufacturing-software partner. It states a line rate — one robot every 10 minutes — which is the first such figure in a month of production announcements from Tesla, AgiBot, XPeng and now UBTECH.

Milestone note Sep 13, 2026

The Cybercabs in New York have steering wheels — and 45, not 1,000, are registered in Texas

Sand-coloured Cybercabs without side mirrors have been spotted across New York City — with a person behind a steering wheel. NYC's transportation department says Tesla is testing a supervised self-driving system there, a different configuration from the Austin cars, which genuinely have no wheel or pedals. Separately, about 45 Cybercabs are registered in Texas, against the roughly 1,000 covered by NHTSA's audit.

Milestone note Sep 10, 2026

XPeng's humanoid walked off an automated line — which is not the same as mass production

XPeng switched on what it calls the world's first automated production line for advanced humanoids, with over 80% of core processes automated, and an IRON unit walked off it under its own power. XPeng's own timetable still puts mass production at end-2026, first deployments in its own stores, and commercial deliveries in 2027. Several outlets reported it as production having begun.

Milestone note Sep 3, 2026

First paid rides in a car built with no steering wheel or pedals

Reached

Tesla — Cybercab, Austin, Texas — Tesla began charging fares for Cybercab rides in Austin on 3 Sep 2026 — the two-seater is built with no steering wheel, no pedals and no mirrors, making it the first purpose-built driverless vehicle to carry paying passengers at scale. There was no launch event: a small group of shareholders and friendly accounts rode first, then the Robotaxi app opened more widely. The same day, NHTSA opened Audit Query AQ26002 covering roughly 1,000 Cybercabs — the self-certified population, not the deployed fleet; about 45 were registered in Texas at launch — asking whether Tesla followed the proper process in self-certifying a car with no controls against crash standards written for conventional vehicles. An audit query is not a recall or a finding of danger — it is a question about the paperwork that made the deployment legal.

Milestone note Sep 1, 2026

A second Tesla driver has died stopped on a freeway with driver-assist verified engaged

A Tesla Model 3 was stopped on the eastbound Loop 202 in Mesa, Arizona at about 3 a.m. when a Ford F-350 struck it from behind, killing the driver. Tesla's own telematics marked the automation "Verified Engaged" — Autopilot or FSD was active. It is the second such death in weeks, after a near-identical Florida case, and investigators did not know the system was on.

Milestone note Aug 17, 2026

Tesla asked Nevada for 5,000 robotaxis and got 10

The Nevada Transportation Authority granted Tesla an autonomous-vehicle network permit but capped the fleet at 10 vehicles against the 5,000 Tesla sought for its first year. Operations are confined to the Las Vegas Strip corridor below 45 mph, airport pickups are barred, cars must be labelled, and trips require 'appropriate human supervision.'

Milestone note Aug 2026

Optimus enters production on a converted car line

Reached

Tesla — Fremont, California — Optimus entered production at Fremont in late July/August 2026, in the floor space vacated by the Model S and Model X lines — Tesla tore those down in about 46 days after the last cars were built in early May. Musk had committed to the timing on the Q1 2026 earnings call and afterwards described the ramp as painfully slow, calling this year's rate "literally impossible to predict" given roughly 10,000 unique parts on an entirely new line. Treat the start, not the scale, as the fact here: Tesla has never published an Optimus production count, no per-unit figure has been disclosed for Fremont, and outside estimates of about 1,000–1,200 units across Fremont and Giga Texas are unconfirmed by the company.

Analysis as of Jul 3, 2026

Tesla's driver-assist safety scrutiny mounts just as its robotaxi map grows

NHTSA opened a special investigation into a fatal Texas crash involving Tesla's driver assistance, the family sued, senators demanded accountability, and Tesla settled a separate fatal-crash FSD lawsuit — all within days of the Miami robotaxi launch. Our read: the regulatory overhang is now the variable to price.

Our read — labelled opinion, not investment advice.